Sunday, November 10, 2019

State Forest Preserve Use Plans Ignore Climate Change

Noah Shaw, former general counsel for the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA), contributed to the drafting of New York State’s groundbreaking 2019 climate legislation. This September, he wrote an op-ed in the Adirondack Explorer,What New York’s Bold Climate Law Means for the Adirondacks.”

The Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act of 2019 “outlines a so-called ‘carbon offset’ program as a counter-weight to the 15 percent of emissions that may remain after all our other emissions-reducing actions are taken,” he wrote. “These will likely come from hard-to-clean-up activities like aviation, agriculture, shipping and heavy industry. New York’s most valuable carbon offset resource, also known as a ‘sink,’ is its forestland. This is good news for the Adirondack Forest Preserve.”

The Good News: Our Carbon Sink

What is this “good news” Shaw mentions? It’s our 3 million-acre, constitutionally protected Adirondack and Catskill Forest Preserve (and other State forests) offsetting our annual carbon emissions and storing carbon in trees and forest soils as the forests continue to mature. As regional botanist Jerry Jenkins wrote in Climate Change in the Adirondacks (2010), temperate deciduous forests of the eastern United States and Canada are “one of the great carbon banks on the planet… current growth is offsetting past losses. Most eastern forests are young, and many are expanding. If they are allowed to mature, they will remove much of the carbon from the atmosphere that was released when the forests were originally cleared or cut.”

The New York Times recently reported that global forests sequester or remove more than 25% of the carbon emissions humans create every year. Intact forests are especially important in storing carbon, it was reported, but when disturbed by selective logging and road building their capacity to sequester and store carbon is significantly diminished.

Jerry Jenkins’ book estimates that carbon bank in all Adirondack forests, public and private, is about 85 tons per acre, or over 430 million tons in all. As he writes, if all of that stored forest carbon were to be released at once, it would be equal to all the carbon emissions from within the Adirondack Park over the past 750 years.

As for carbon offsets, Jenkins’ guess is that the public Adirondack Forest Preserve, all 2.7 million acres of it, is realizing a total accumulation rate of 0.4 tons of carbon per acre per year, or over a million tons of carbon per year on state lands. Another 1.3 million tons is being stored annually on the park’s private forests, or 2.3 million total tons of carbon offsets per year thanks to Adirondack forests.

State Use Plans Ignore Climate Changes

All this carbon storage and offsetting in our Parks and in the Forest Preserve receives surprisingly little mention from Governor Andrew Cuomo or the Department of Environmental Conservation. When New York State acquires Forest Preserve, conservation easements on private land or State Forests or parks outside of the Adirondack and Catskill Parks, the carbon benefits seem to be rarely cited or measured as one of the many benefits of acquiring these lands or conservation rights. That seems odd given that DEC is poised to accelerate its work on climate change mitigation.

One is also hard pressed to find anything about the “good news” for the Adirondack Forest Preserve in DEC’s unit management plans (UMPs) – the very documents meant to translate Forest Preserve policy into activities on the ground. In fact, none of the many UMPs I’ve reviewed, even the most recent ones approved by DEC (and APA in Ray Brook) even mention climate change, or, if they do at all, the mention is cursory.

For example, the Hammond Pond Wild Forest UMP, approved in 2018, states: “Due to human influences, invasive species, and climate change, every effort will be made to create, maintain, or rehabilitate habitat suitable for native strains of fish that are historic to the Adirondacks.” That’s it. The document goes on at length about birds, mammals, fish, forest ecosystems, wetlands, ponds, streams, human recreational history and trail development and access recommendations. All good and important to include, but nothing further about the influence of climate and whether the change in climate being experienced today has any bearing or will have any bearing in the future on management of Hammond Pond Wild Forest.

At least Hammond Pond UMP includes this single reference to “climate change.” The Saranac Lakes Wild Forest UMP, approved in 2018, does not. Unlike Hammond Pond, Saranac Lakes UMP has a paragraph about climate, citing mean annual temperature in the greater Adirondack region, average cooling rate with elevational change, number of frost-free days, leaf out dates of deciduous trees, mean annual precipitation ranges, and mean annual snowfall. This UMP does not say over what time interval this data was acquired.

The Sentinel Range Wilderness UMP, now under review at the DEC and APA, also contains a paragraph about climate, but not a single word about how any aspect of the area’s climate may have changed already or could change in the years ahead, affecting natural resources, human recreation and DEC management:

“The region’s climate, in general terms, is best described as cool and moist,” it reads. “Climatic conditions can vary considerably throughout the unit and are influenced by such factors as slope aspect, elevation, seasonal temperatures, precipitation, prevailing winds, and the location of natural barriers. Summers tend to be warm with cool nights. Maximum day-time temperatures seldom exceed 90 degrees Fahrenheit. Frost can occur any month of the year and occasionally freezing temperatures are recorded in July and August. Winters are long and extremely cold…The resulting influence of climate on local flora and fauna, in particular, is profound. “

This may an accurate description of the region’s climate in 1985. How about 2020, or 2040? And what about variation and trends in the intensity of precipitation?

Planning Action Needed

The point is made that despite important new statewide responsibilities DEC bears for ensuring climate change mitigation and avoidance, DEC’s Adirondack Forest Preserve UMPs consistently fail to meaningfully describe and anticipate climate change, impacts and actual and potential consequences of more intense precipitation events and less durable snowpack, to name just two, for management.

These changes are being observed and documented by a variety of Adirondack research and conservation scientists. As Paul Smith’s College professor Curt Stager reported to the APA last winter, many Adirondack lake freeze-up dates occur two weeks later, and ice-out dates occur one to two weeks earlier than in 1988. That’s one new entire ice-free month over 30 years.

Stager reported we can expect 4-6 additional inches of precipitation in “bigger dumps” per episode by 2099, and 6-11 degrees F. warmer by then. “These are not natural cycles,” he told the APA. Scientists regularly mention the actual or potential disruptions caused by, for example, earlier spring flowering, earlier insect emergence and later arrival of species of birds, or movements of bird ranges northwards.

Why in the world would the Adirondack Park Agency allow the Department of Environmental Conservation to issue Forest Preserve UMPs that fail to mention climate change, much less analyze actual and potential consequences for public recreation, carrying capacity and wild land management for access and stewardship for wilderness character, hiking, bicycling, snowmobiling, nordic skiing, fishing, hunting, trapping, ice climbing, wildlife observation and more. When planning trails, DEC ought to be considering future mechanized technologies and related recreational pressures when the trails are snow-free for an additional month.

DEC has a staffed Office of Climate Change and many related new mandates. Its Division of Lands and Forests should similarly be consistently climate aware, knowledgeable and accountable. The management consequences of measurable or predicted changes in precipitation or duration of snow and ice, for instance, should be consistently factored into all Forest Preserve UMPs and recreation management planning on  private conservation easement lands. And the “good news” of new forest conservation incentives and measures should be shared and promoted by Governor Cuomo, DEC and APA.

Photo of Indian Lake from Snowy Mountain provided.

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Dave Gibson, who writes about issues of wilderness, wild lands, public policy, and more, has been involved in Adirondack conservation for over 30 years as executive director of the Association for the Protection of the Adirondacks, executive director of Protect the Adirondacks and currently as managing partner with Adirondack Wild: Friends of the Forest Preserve

During Dave's tenure at the Association, the organization completed the Center for the Forest Preserve including the Adirondack Research Library at Paul Schaefer’s home. The library has the finest Adirondack collection outside the Blue Line, specializing in Adirondack conservation and recreation history.

Currently, Dave is managing partner in the nonprofit organization launched in 2010, Adirondack Wild: Friends of the Forest Preserve.




16 Responses

  1. Boreasfisher says:

    Timely observations. Good points all if the objective it to manage these public lands for optimal benefit as the climate warms. I *hope* that’s the objective…

  2. Boreas says:

    “Scientists regularly mention the actual or potential disruptions caused by, for example, earlier spring flowering, earlier insect emergence and later arrival of species of birds, or movements of bird ranges northwards.”

    Not to pick nits, but warming will typically result in earlier arrival of birds in spring, not later. Likely a typo.

  3. Greg M. says:

    Honest question: What do you think would be actionable in the UMP with climate change in mind? The only thing I can think of is possibly dam removal for fear of higher than historical future rain events. Possibly trail routing, but that’s stretching it.

    With UMPs having roughly a lifespan of 20-30 years, I can’t think of much that would be actionable beyond what’s already being done, largely because the forest preserve is wild and effectively unmanaged. Seems to be an pushing to discuss climate change is more for discussion’s sake than anything else.

  4. Big Burly says:

    Thank you David. Timely, thoughtful and thought provoking. Hopefully all the CLCPA represents more than virtue signalling. The track record of the DEC in recent years does not however provide much evidence.

  5. rum says:

    “Stager reported we can expect 4-6 additional inches of precipitation in “bigger dumps” per episode by 2099, and 6-11 degrees F. warmer by then.”

    by 2099??? priceless.

    I predict we will have 4-6 less inches of rain with zero “dumps” per episode and it being cooler by 32 degrees. get back to me on how our predictions compared.

  6. roger dziengeleski says:

    If we are really concerned about climate change then we should be considering cutting trees for fuel in an effort to keep the carbon releases occurring from the burning of coal, gas and oil in the ground, At least trees regenerate and sequester more carbon. Burning fossil fuels just traps even more carbon in the atmosphere. Also, the real impact in addressing climate change should occur in non wild areas. Smaller cars, less driving, smaller dwellings. Really odd to be focused on UMPs, where any impact is minor in comparison. Just another ploy to keep the public from recreating in the park.

    • Boreas says:

      roger,

      You won’t scrub atmospheric CO2 and sequester carbon by killing and burning the main organisms that sequester carbon. Yes, trees regenerate, but burning adult trees just releases the bulk of the carbon that was already sequestered. A sapling doesn’t sequester as much carbon as an adult tree. Deforestation is an important factor in climate change.

      • Ryan Finnigan says:

        Well stated!

      • roger dziengeleski says:

        Respectfully, you are not looking at the forest for the trees, or giving credit for offsetting the burning of fossil fuels. The big picture shows using biomass for fuel makes more sense than burning coal and oil. Replacing coal, oil and natural gas with solar and wind may happen some day, but today it isn’t feasible. Cutting back on excessive life styles, big cars and even bigger houses is the easiest and fastest way to address climate change. Society likely doesn’t want to do that either. Oh well.

  7. Eric Avery says:

    The entire premise of this article seems to be “climate change isn’t mentioned” and the author treats that as a problem in and of itself. That is ridiculous. Just because a UMP doesn’t mention the phrase “climate change” doesn’t mean a UMP doesn’t help address it or that it wasn’t considered. Legal and policy documents like UMPs often purposefully exclude fashionable labels like “climate change” for the simple reason that these labels change. What would be the author’s feelings if UMPs written in the 70s referred to ‘global cooling’. How would UMPs written in the 80s with the words ‘global warming’ be viewed? Labels like these are avoided so the state doesn’t have to go back and revise things every time the fashionable labels change. It doesn’t mean the problem is being ignored. It’s just efficient government.

    • JohnL says:

      “Efficient Government” Eric? It’s an oxymoron. It doesn’t exist. At least not in this galaxy.

      • Eric Avery says:

        Ha! I agree. But it be even more inefficient if we had to re-write UMPs every ten years. How long did the High Peaks one take? 30 years?

    • Todd Eastman says:

      A management plan must reflect the concerns being addressed. Not doing so gives no perspective to the decisions and input chosen to act upon.

      If a UMP written in the 70s had included references to “global cooling”, we would more clearly understand the implementation to that plan, and its pitfalls.

      What about public process and government administration do you not get?

      Good policy is developed in the open with all concerns brought up for consideration. Not all concerns will survive the entire process, but the record of the process in in the public record…

  8. christian.cunningham says:

    Thank you! I have the temperate forest biome,and this has helped me lean some facts about the temperate forest thank you.

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